Progression of 30 wins
Here you may bet successfully and you don’t even have to be interested in or have a knowledge of baseball rules, lines-up or injuries etc. How is this possible? All MLB matches have two endings, ie win or lose, and generally there are a small number of long sequences for each outcome. Betting odds on MLB are not bad and the league is competitive, each team can beat the other.
This method relies on betting with persistence on wins for your team or on several teams, to achieve already assumed profit e.g. £100 after every victory. In case of a loss, you increase a stake so as to recover lost money plus of course your initial assumed profit. It’s best to provide an example to illustrate this:
You bet on victory for Cleveland, assumed profit after every victory is equal to £100
1. Match Cleveland – Arizona at odds equal to 1, it means that victory for Cleveland is equal to 1.5 Your stake is £200, with possible winnings of £300, ie profit £100.
Unfortunately you do not win your bet so you increase your stake dependently on odds but in order to recover any lost money and of course secure your £100 profit:
2. Match Cleveland – Arizona at odds equal to 2, you stake £300, potential profit £600, and profit after including all previously invested stakes is equal to £100. If you win on this occasion, you start again from the beginning; if not, you again increase your stake dependent on odds in order to recover all invested money and achieve £100 compound net profit.
Of course, you may assume/pick a lower initial profit to achieve and additionally, bet on wins for several teams. You’ll find the following sheet amazingly simple and helpful to use in establishing how much to stake, dependant upon odds, on each and every betting level in order for you to secure your initial target. This sheet may be downloaded by clicking here. Additionally, I’ll go on to explain how you again stack the odds of success in your favour and how to access our tools to make this possible.
One important factor in MLB is that matches are played every day and teams play with each other through 3-4 matches before changing rivals. It may appear that after a few losses in a row, the amount of money you will have to bet suddenly increases. However, the whole secret is hidden behind the odds for a win for a particular team. More specifically, they are floated and usually are between 1.5-3.5, which means that one day if Cleveland beat Arizona, their odds may be 1.7 and on another day, may be 2.1.
Taking into consideration the fact that loss sequences are not usually long, you shouldn’t require such a quick stake increase. However, its clearly important for you to choose the appropriate teams to bet on to avoid long sequences, which may in turn cause quick stakes increase.
Choice of a team
On the basis of statistics, you choose a team which had, in previous seasons, a similar win to loss ratio (it is better when there are more wins), it is also good if it is a team situated in a higher part of a table, what means it’s a more reliable team. It’s also very important that sequences without a win for this team should be short. Detailed statistics, which will definitely make it easier to choose a suitable team, can be found in the baseball statistics section.
If you have chosen teams for your progressions, you should also establish a profit they are to provide after every winning match. In my opinion, the safest option is to divide total capital allotted for betting into 100 pieces (if playing with 1 team only). In practice if you allotted £200 to betting in MLB and decided to play with 1 team, you should assume at the beginning that profit would be equal to £2 after every win (ie 200 divided by 100). If we allotted £2000 for playing and we decided that we wanted to play with 4 teams, we would have £500 allocated for each team, giving a £5 profit after every win of every team. All of this will become clearer as you read on.
If you have chosen your teams and your profit is established, you should also define a safe number of winning matches that you‘re ultimately going to play up to. From my observations, the safest method is to play up to a total of 30 wins for each of your chosen teams. So if you chose Boston Red Sox for example and they won 30 matches, you would definitely end the game and not bet on them again that season.
I think it’s best to start betting at the beginning of a season (2nd April). This is because matches are played every day so by the end of June, your 30 win plan should be complete. Also, during these two months, matches are quite equal and sequences of failures happen less often (my the longest sequence was equal to 6 matches without a win), later on in the season, the situation varies. If you notice that a chosen team are not performing as expected, you may of course change it.
What should you do if you experience a sequence of losses? If you had properly chosen stakes, you should manage this sequence but additionally, you may also divide the amount of money between other teams, similar to football recovery. However, if you choose teams properly and in accordance with our statistics, plan your budget and you play to 30 wins, the risk of such a sequence is minimal.
One additional piece of advice, my experience shows that it is better to choose about 6 teams and play with them, assuming at the same time a lower overall profit from each. This is how you will minimize negative results from bad team choices.
To demonstrate and to make this simpler to follow and ‘more real’ and also, to evidence how successful this can be, I will show you what happened when I played MLB progression. I chose 4 teams and assumed/targeted £60 profit after every win. The number of ‘safe matches’ (ie when to stop playing when each team has secured this number of wins) was set at 40 wins. This means 4 teams x £60 for a win x 40 matches = £9.600.
I chose Chicago White Sox, St. Louis, Atlanta, LA Angels (later changed for Boston Red Sox).
I started the game on 5.04.2006 and on 14.06.2006 my situation was as follows:
Chicago White Sox 39 wins (39 x £60 = £2340 profit)
St Louis 37 wins (37 x £60 = £2220 profit)
Atlanta 29 wins (29 X £60 = £1740 profit)
LA Angels (later Boston) 24 wins (24 x £60 = £1440 profit)
Here’s a couple of examples of sequences for these teams, during that season. For the purposes of this example, let’s assume we’re playing to win £50 each win.
Victory of White Sox
1: Stake £58 at odds of 1.87 = £108 return if bet wins, ie £50 profit (108 winnings minus 58 stake = 50)….outcome…. ₤ TEAM LOST
2: Stake £161 at odds of 1.67 = £268 return if bet wins, this time TEAM WON and you’re +£50 over both bets, ie (£268 return minus total 2 bet stake:£219, gives £50+)
Victory of St. Louis…….following same methodology as above:
1: 54₤ x 1.93 = 104 ₤ LOST
2: 160₤ x 1.65 = 264 ₤ WON +50 (264-160-54=50₤ assumed net profit)
You will achieve success in this method thanks to consequence, patience and remaining cool.