Sequence breaking progression
This method is based on statistic data which reveals that MLB teams win and lose on average every 3-6 matches. The obvious conclusion therefore is that you should wait until one team loses several times in a row before betting on it to win/earn a victory. If you have chosen your team, then you must be consistent and play on as long as required with this team until it wins. Similarly, you may also bet on a team losing if its current sequence shows a run of consecutive wins.
Similar to the previous method, you also have to establish the amount of profit you want to achieve from wins for your team, by using the same principles as in the 30 wins method. A sheet in the Links section will help you with this.
Playing this method, you should use statistics from current and previous seasons (in my opinion the current season is the most important). All statistics, results of matches, lines up etc can be found by visiting www.mlb.com You’ll also find great statistics of sequences of wins/losses for every team during previous seasons, and in the current season, in the baseball statistics section.
With this method you do not have to establish a safe number of matches because you play with different teams which have not won or lost for at least 3 matches. You have many possible choices because there are 168 matches.
With this system, you can do a little more research around the position of playing teams, playing thrower, injuries etc but basically, if you notice for example that a particular team won 6-7 matches in a row, you can just as easily begin betting on them losing and wait, success would ultimately be achieved.
As you see, a key matter in MLB is the assumption of such an amount of profit after every match, in order to go through 9-10 matches, so I advise you to use a method proposed earlier.
As you see, a key matter in MLB is the assumption of profit after every match, in order to go through 9-10 matches. I advise you to use a method proposed earlier.
Here is some statistic data from 2007 and 2008
Team / Season |
2007 |
2008 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
W |
L |
PCT |
HSWW |
HSWL |
W |
L |
PCT |
HSWW |
HSWL |
Arizona Diamondbacks |
93 |
76 |
0.550 |
6 |
9 |
82 |
80 |
0.506 |
7 |
9 |
Atlanta Braves |
84 |
78 |
0.519 |
6 |
9 |
82 |
80 |
0.506 |
7 |
9 |
Chicago Cubs |
86 |
80 |
0.518 |
7 |
8 |
97 |
67 |
0.591 |
7 |
10 |
W - won
L - lost
PCT – relation of won matches to all played matches
HSWW – the highest sequence without a win
HSWL – the highest sequence without a loss
This is only a part of the invaluable statistics which may be found in a baseball statistics section.
As you see, for some teams it is profitable to bet on wins and for some teams on losses, you will be able to choose suitable teams according to our statistics.